Blog1_Oz

List of reasons to vote NO

More proof of EU’s power, and display of lack of power from Cameron.
Telegraph 16th July 2015

The proposal tosses aside a written agreement between David Cameron and his counterparts that stated British taxpayers would never again be exposed to Eurozone bailouts.

Mr Cameron subsequently assured the House of Commons that Britain be exempt from bailouts, and he has repeatedly used the deal as proof that he can radically renegotiate Britain’s membership with the EU.

Indeed, the 2015 Conservative manifesto boasts: “We took Britain out of Eurozone bailouts, including for Greece – the first ever return of powers from Brussels.”

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11737286/EU-demands-Britain-joins-Greek-rescue-fund.html

AEP Greece is being treated like a hostile occupied state

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard has his say on events of last night. He’s not happy…

 Like the Neapolitan Bourbons – benign by comparison – the leaders of the eurozone have learned nothing, and forgotten nothing. 

The cruel capitulation forced upon Greece after 31 hours on the diplomatic rack offers no conceivable way out the country’s perpetual crisis. The terms are harsher by a full order of magnitude than those rejected by Greek voters in a landslide referendum a week ago, and therefore can never command democratic assent. 

They must be carried through by a Greek parliament still dominated by MPs from Left and Right who loathe every line of the summit statement, the infamous SN 4070/15, and have only agreed – if they have agreed – with a knife to their throats. 

EMU inspectors can veto legislation. The emasculation of the Greek parliament has been slipped into the text. All that is missing is a unit of EMU gendarmes. 

Such terms are unenforceable. The creditors have sought to nail down the new memorandum by transferring €50bn of Greek assets to “an independent fund that will monetise the assets through privatisations and other means”. It will be used in part to pay off debts. 

This fund will be under EU “supervision”. The cosmetic niceties of sovereignty will be preserved by letting the Greek authorities manage its day to day affairs. Nobody is fooled.

EU_lie_JOBS

Greatest Lies no.1

3,000,000 British jobs will be lost in the UK leaves the EU

Possibly the greatest lie ever told by Europhiles SO FAR!

The very very basic facts. The trade deficit between the UK and the other 27 EU member staes was £109.2 billion in 2014. that’s Imports FROM the EU are £109,200,000,000 more than exports TO the EU. It seems at first sight to be unlikely that the EU would seek to disrupt a trading arrangement that is so much more beneficial to itself than it is to us.

The source of the Greatest Lie ever Told?

Look no further than the Independent Newspaper – 18th February 2000 to be precise – that DELIBERATELY misquoted the results of a study by the National Institute for Economic and Social Research. It was so misleading that the actual Director of the NIESR at the time called it “pure Goebbels propaganda” and that “…in my many years of academic research I cannot recall such a wilful distortion of the facts”.

That’s from the Director of the Institute whose research the Independent Newspaper misquoted!

The actual facts and figures of that study?

For the record, the actual facts of THAT study stated quite clearly and dispassionately that:

3.4 million jobs in the UK are associated with trade with the EU. Not membership of it.

the EU26 (at the time not 27) trade THEN into us was 12% higher than ours with them

it follows thus that nearly 4,000,000 EU jobs depend on exports TO the UK

we have a heavy trade deficit with the EU – but with the REST of the world a healthy surplus

our most successful trade is with the USA, then Australia and then Switzerland

our trade with the then EU26 now EU 27 is falling year-on-year (last ONS report -13%)

our trade with the Rest of the World is rising year-on-year (same ONS pink book +12%)

whilst the UK’s working population rises every year – many of Europe’s are falling for example Germany (-25%), Italy (-20%) and Spain (-14%). These stats from the UN World Population Prospects annual report.

HOW CAN YOU TAKE ANYONE PEDDLING THESE LIES SERIOUSLY AT ALL?

Is it any wonder then that Nick Clegg, having LOST his 2 debates on the matter of Europe with Nigel Farage, saw his party decimated at the General Election poll the following year? The British People understand good old fashioned facts and figures, straight talking. Saint Nick repeatedly lied in the debates. He lost 85% of his MPs in the House of Commons as a result.

Leaving the EU will improve and grow the British economy faster. Let us focus on that!.

Have a great week.

Rugs_from_Under

You would have to be Mad

to think of voting for the LibLabCon. If you are thinking of supporting Nuttily Bennett you probably are mad already.

but as you head into the ballot booth today – and 5 in every 6 votes cast in the General Election will be recorded today – think on some if not all of the following:

on 1st January 2017 the EU will approve legislation to give THEM the power to overrule any member state allowing their people an In/Out referendum. Cameron’s pledge is PHONEY.

Immigration net was 298,000 last year. It is rising. It will be greater this year. It will hit a record all time high this year. Cameron lied.

we are STILL despite austerity running a UK budget deficit of £90 billion. That’s the Education & Defence budgets combined. Our TOTAL national debt now exceeds £1.5 trillion. That’s 2 years TOTAL government spending.

Labour doubled the national debt in 13 years.

the Coalition REDOUBLED it in the last 5.

RedEd and Mr Cooper have only confessed to 3 tax increases – the Mansion Tax, an increased higher rate of income tax of 50% to effect senior nurses & teachers and increased corporate tax.

The independent Institute of Fiscal Studies has estimated these may raise £1billion, zero and £1billion respectively.

the sum total of Labours election spending pledges will cost, so far, around £20 billion. That means more borrowing, more interest to repay and a repeat of Gordon Browns near bankruptcy in 2010.

both establishment parties are fake. Both will re crash the UK economy. Both will fail the British people.

you have been warned – please vote UKIP today.image

Thank You.

 

 

 

UKIP_in_Marginals_Red&Blue

Pollsters final guesses.

Bank Holiday Monday. 3 days to go.

Well they’re in. And true to their word – or rather their sponsors’ instructions – it’s a closely contested election.Poll-of-Polls_4 days out

Of course it’s not! It plays to the Murdoch empire on the one hand for Call Me Dave to still be in with a chance.

It plays to the EU and BBC agendas for Red Ed Miliband to still be in there pretending. 34.1% Tory versus 32.5% Labour and both of them screaming for all they are worth that their “entitlement” is greater than the other’s. The only thing staggering from the Poll of Polls is that the BBC and others have shown us as high as they have – this sugggests to this cynic that in reality we are nearer 20% and as we know where it counts – Clacton, Thanet South, Great Yarmouth, Thurrock, Heywood & Middleton its a lot greater than that!

The truth is that IF YOU WANT THIS TO BE THE LAST GENERAL ELECTION FOUGHT ON THE ESTABLISHMENT’S RULES

Then votes for one of the LibLabCon. But surely we are better than that? Deserve more. Know that our vote is worth more than that, was fought for with far more imagination than that?

If you realise that the only way for TRUE CHANGE is to break with what you are being told; then vote for the Parties that are actually daying something new. That’s UKIP and the Greens in England, SNP in Scotland and UKIP in Wales & Northern Ireland.

Get the “shy UKIP” vote upto 20% and we will score a dozen seats or so at Westminster. Do what you did for Cleggmania last time out – 24% of the national vote in 2010 – and then we will represent you in parliament with well over 60 MPs.

That’s the truth of the matter. It’s within our grasp. All you have to do now is hold your nerve, and put that pencil cross in the UKIP box.

And maybe, just maybe, the world will look a better place Friday afternoon.

Happy Leafletting.

IMG_6315

Beware the Coalition

Trust Easter was enjoyable for our readers. For us on Zero Hours contracts a fairly expensive way to enjoy chocolate! A long time ago now. But a weekend in Valencia has sharpened my pencil. As have the discussions with hoteliers and market stall vendors out there. They are all staggered at the flack the UK’s fastest winning party has been taking.

BBC, Kellner on the left & the Sun and the Tories to the right are starting to make their moves. As predicted.

IMG_6311The Coalition that could never surely repeat – well per a very well informed Spectator article last month, Tories and LibDems have met twice already to pre-agree the terms of Coalition 2 – this time its personal.

As we enter the final straight it seems quite apparent that 3 things are starting to happen.

(1) the massed ranks of the political elite are now well and truly repeating each other to a man and playing down UKIP’s chances everywhere. EU funded YouGov continues to peddle the propaganda that we shall only have Douglas Carswell and Clacton at Westminster a week tomorrow. Interesting that given the now “sacrosanct” (when ukip support falls) poll of polls shows 14% UKIP to 8% LibDems yet the statistically incompetent Kellner still shows 17 wins for Saint Nick. Shocking really.

Poll of Polls 2015 April 30

YouGov_280_Tories_30April2015

 

 

 

 (2) Sturgeon actually the Red Herring.

With SNP Scottish polls ranging between 45 and 54 % ( and 45 and all 59 of Scotland’s MPs) it seems to be that nearly all commentators have missed one key point. The fact the rises and falls are traditionally over-stated when viewed with the glasses of Harry Hindsight. I think its clear for all to see now that only George Osborne has realised that. The old adage of “how fast do you need to be to outrun a bear” – correct answer, “just a little bit faster than you” has never been truer. If the Tories are the largest single party in NUMBER OF SEATS terms, they gte to go first. My prediction of a year ago was CON 290, LAB 270, SNP 40, LibDem 30, UKIP 5 and 15 the rest. And it still looks good to me. This would mean LibCon at 320 plus our Nigel get to govern for the next 5 years and “finish off the mess” they have got themselves into.

Clearly Dave will go hunting out the Ulster Unionists first – but I like the look of the polls!

(3) Secret Salmond actually the right’s greatest ally

IMG_6289The scaremongering has started to work. 4 million Scots getting to dictate what 50 million English get to do will just not be tolerated – and even were they to get away with a parliament, the ensuing win in the Holyrood elections and the associated “Referendum2″ will finish off the UK has a Socialist haven hopefully once and forever.

Election night is always good fun. Watch out for the Pretend debates with Mr Dimbleby tonight, and then prepare for a couple of proper shock UKIP results Friday week. Expect something Welsh, something Northern and something completely unexpected. In Eastern too!

You heard it here first!

Have a good evening

3times_higher

Paying 4 Policy

Tuesday evening: And the Pollsters have admitted they are all Snake Oil Salesmen.

A poll in the weekend’s Sunday Times gave Labour a 4%age point advantage – and then yesterday’s two from Lord Ashcroft and ComRes saw a 4% lead to the Tories. Mathematicians out there will know that these 2 results are mutually impossible,

ComRes_Mail_Graphic30March2015given their stated margin for error of +/- 2%. Unless of course they are prepared on NON STATISTICAL bases?!

So its official – YouGov and friends have resorted to making it up. Dusting off my O Level maths books it becomes apparent that any poll with under 7,000 randomly selected voters has no statistically sound base! But clearly  that won’t stop Peter Kellner remaining in love with his own voice – “we will bringing out daily polls” he schmoozed on the Sunday Politics.

Dear oh dear oh dear. Dear UKIP High Command. Explain to the UK what needs doing!

UKIP have the only fully costed Manifesto. All UKIP’s commitments come in at less than £20billion annually. And as readers will know we pay for that in YEAR ONE with:

  • Stop_HS2_before_out-of-controlLeaving the EU and saving over £11 billion in net membership fees
  • Abandoning the greatest single white elephant out there – HS2. At least £3 billion per year for the next 20 (TWENTY) years not wasted
  • Reducing the Foreign Aid budget so that only truly humanitarian causes remain. At least £8 billion annual saving here to be had each and every year.

And of course ALL of the above is without relying upon £1 of efficiency savings across Government Bureaucracy (LibLabCon are planning for at least £5 billion here)

Costed_plans_to_fix_2015or being able to tax the professional internet corporate tax evaders (again the LibLabCon banks on at least £5 billion here too).

No wonder the LibLabCon are laughing all the way to the ballot box. Doubled the deficit. Noone seems to care. Tripled Net Immigration – not once held to account.

Being evasive and secretive about any of their pretend deficit elimination plans. Not even Andrew Neil, Paxman or Andrew Marr see particularly bothered about holding these conmen and women to account. But then again if you were paid £1,000,000 a year by the licence funded BBC would you care?

Realistically UKIP can readily show how we can…

SAVE £40,000,000,000 at least every single year over the next 5 years

The rest are conning you. Don’t be fooled. Don’t regret your choice on May 7th.

Vote UKIP on May 7th.
And sleep easy on May 8th knowing that it was not your fault.

Real people. Real Change. Real Choices. Real UKIP.

 

Osborurn_budgte

6 Degrees of Alienation

Wednesday pm: well he’s now had 6 goes at this. And he still just does not get it. He patronises, he tells fibs, he he can actually become quite offensive.

Plattitude One. Britain Walking Tall again. No mention of record levels of immigration at 298,000 net annual inflow. What good is a reduction in your income tax, if that tax that used to get you a GP appointment, a school for your children you wanted or a sewage system that doesnt spout effluent onto your front drive – now promises none of the above? Imagine another 1,500,000 unskilled migrant workers continuing to cherry-pick the UK throughout the next parliament. Will you recognise the UK in 2020?

Fact Avoided number 2: Nigel Farage posed the not unreasonable question with regards to the Chancellor’s claim that he has “managed the public finances well”. The stark facts are these; Labour doubled the National Debt in 13 years – Boy George did the same in just 5. What part of paying interest rather than NHS wages as just plain wrong does he not get? That’s plain common sense – or in his case nonsense.

DoublingDebtIncredible to think that the Tories have a 28 point lead on their “handling of the economy”. What on earth would happen were the British People to be so daft as to give the car keys back to Red Ed and BallsUp? I find this so so scarey.

In three – bare faced Lies. Always a favourite this one with the Tories. Or put more fairly deny the negatives and answer the question you would have preferred. Example: “but you promised you would reduce immigration to the tens of thousands – no ifs or buts. But today it sits at 298,000. Why haev you not resigned?”. Answer: ” we have reduced migration from outside the EU over the parliament as we promised”. Sorry? What did you say.

Maybe its something to do with those unaffordable Etonian educations. Maybe that delusional sense of “we were born to rule over you…”. Who knows. Maybe theyre all just plain mad?

Pretence number four. Dealing with the Banks. Continuing to allow the Fat Cats most of the ceram. On the surface his increased Banking Levy of £900,000,000 sounds a little like retribution. Until you realise of course that Tax breaks and banking Chief Executives left unpunished are the price on the other side of this “tax increase” for the rich. The Chief Execs of HSBC alone would have wasted £900million of each and every one of their shareholders cash – to keep them from a courtroom and even god forbid fair justice. You can hear them now. “Well done George – we can live with that…”

FatCatsVarious institutes have come out and advised the thinking public that the extra £12billion in welfare spending cuts per annum over the next parliament is actually not only unlikley, but mathematically impossible.

As per usual of course the greatest lie of all is disguised and hidden in a 2019/2020 “promise”. When spending will the same percentage of GDP as it was at the peak of Gordon Brown’s Borrow-and-Bust econoomy on 2000.

Bribe number 5 – Help to Buy ISAs. So lets get this straight. You save £2,400 a year, and Lord Cameron tops you up a further £600. You are living in Hertfordshire. You need a 20-30% deposit to just get started. My maths suggests that that will take you between 10 and 20 years depending upon your specific housing needs. And assuming NIL house price inflation! Does anyone actually buy this garbage?

Soundbite number 6. We are “the ComeBack Country”. But hang on a second. Where have we come back from? A mess created by Labour. A debt doubled under the Old Etonian Homeguard. And an unworkable set of experimental EU business practices and madates that has basically bankrupted 8 in every 10 small businesses that existed in 2007. That’s destruction of national income and opportunity on a massive scale never before seen.

Sorry to seem somewhat negative over the smirking ruling elite’s latest script. I’m sure YouGov will knock out a poll by morning proclaiming original thinking and more lies about how fast we are growing compared to – uuh, well France and Greece.

above are justSix immediately obvious errors in Tory Logic and Right Wing media propagation.

How on earth does the LibLabCon survive? Search me. Vote UKIP.

Give our country a fighting chance.

 

 

 

Peter_Kellner_EU bia_LabourSlide

Lies, Damn Lies and…

EU funded Pollsters – or so goes the slightly adjusted Mark Twain saying.

And as EU funded lying Pollsters go the current owner of YouGov has to be right up there. Not only is the mathematical basis for his “model” unsound – but his organisation also allows the bias of those paying his wages to further get in the way of accurately portraying what Polls around the UK are ACTUALLY saying.
Which is a shame.

Although clearly YouGov will be the ones left with maximum egg on collective faces.

One of his most laughable predictions has to be the %age probability he currently ascribes to his pet hate seat of Clacton.

Clacton_50-50_Ukip-Tory_12March2015He has now been FORCED to conced that maybe, just maybe, UKIP will win a seat on May 7th! What an imbecile.

Ladbrokes are currently offering 10 to 1 on for Douglas Carswell to triumph. Again. Europile Pete has the %ages at even money and with Douglas to collect 37% of the vote only (compared to 60% last time out). I truly think this shows how biased, unscientific and untrustworthy anything emanating from the YouGov stable is.

YouGov_Poll-of-polls 2010-Jan2015The trends of the British electorate are clear for any GCSE maths student. But not so it seems for BBC and EU funded YouGov.

I promise this will be my last rant at this loathsome organisation posing as independent and objective. He is gradually starting to fall away from his Labour overall majority dream. I have been tracking his “calculations” – which are an insult to the word calculus that he straps to his website in vain attempt to legitimise its bias – for some time.

Labour_trend_Oct14-Mar15He forgets his guesses are in the public domain. Only the BBC believe him.

Labour seat forecast is only trending one way as most normal people know.

Daniel Alexander (Labour’s Mr 35%) is worried. Peter now Lord Mandelson declared last week that Labour cant win. Even the SNP are making disdainful noises in the general direction of Islingtonia. They now that they do not need Labour to force their agenda upon the UK parliament. Again. Both Labour and Conservative will win under 300 seats. UKIP will win between 5 and 10. The Greens will triple their score. The LibDems will halve their 56 MPs. The SNP will be the 3rd largets party but with under 45 seats.

Dont forget. You heard it here first.

And all without the need to dress MY guesses up with bogus science and unsound mathematics. Vote UKIP.

And it just might be our year.

Bon Weekend.

 

Grrece&euro&match

Just Suppose

Tuesday: Just suppose that they have all got this totally wrong. That this vanity project no doubt conceived with the best of intentions – prevent war, avoid starvation, tackling crime – has simply run off the rails.

Greek_debt_2Just suppose the Greeks continue to demand bailouts and that the German people one day have had enough?

That they recognise that the EU for all its promises has now become the very cause of the problems it once pupported to prevent.

Junker balloonSuppose voters see Mr Juncker for what he is?

Just suppose that 28 countries inabilities to manage their own and co-joined affairs to the betterment of all and not the pivileged elite has been spotted by the many millions of voters across the EU?

Just suppose that everyone who voted for UKIP last May were to do the same this time? Forget about the arguments about this coalition or that coalition or SNP controlling Red Ed or Saint Nick clinging onto his political trappings by his finger nails.

DC_£53millionJust suppose that Labour voters abandon the Islington Socialist and fail to support Red Ed in Doncaster North?

Just suppose the students of Sheffield Hallam truly do not forgive and forget Mr Cleggs abandoned promises over £9,000 per annum tuition fees.

Just suppose we all wake up. Realise UKIP is better for students. Better for retired folk. Better for ex Service Men and Women. Better for every class across the nation?

Just suppose that we repeat the 30% poll return of the Euros this time round at a General election? Wouldnt you like to be part of a political earthquake?

Just do it People!

Fraage_on_Cameron

Reputations matter – in accademia at least

Thursday: and finally they are starting to break cover. The Politicians of course continue to keep their heads firmly buried in the sand to the UKIP threat. Ignored us. Laughed at us. Had their friends in the EU-funded media actively produce and broadcast anti-UKIP programs.

But at the Universities at least. Integrity and Reputations are important. Today Matthew Goodwin Professor at Nottingham University continues the trend. He has stated today that UKIP have 4 seats “practically in the bag”. He goes on to suggest that 10 well documented Constituencies will see UKIP challending. For the record these are (1) Clacton (slam dunk), (2) Thanet South (Mr Farage’s “must win” prize),

Thanet_South_Ladbrokes(3) Thurrock (4) Rochester & Strood (5) Castlepoint, (6) Boston & Skegness (7) Great Grimsby (8) Thanet North (9) Great Yarmouth and (10) Cannock Chase.

The Bookies are rarely wrong – here’s hoping Ladbrokes have Nigel’s 11% lead about right!

Survation’s figures suggest the 11% lead last week. And Lord Ashcroft this morning will probably prefer not to publish his 8,000 mega poll showing UKIP on 18% and Labour ahead by 3%. Any anti-Cameron stats from here on in will be denied and destroyed before they ever see the light of day.

UKIP_England_NickExpert_05March2015_CaptureWe think that positive results could occur literally anywhere come May.

Even the EU funded BBC obedient Peter Kellner’s YouGov has woken up to the reality and is accepted that UKIP win ONE (1) seat on May 7th!

The poll of polls amongst academics suggests UKIP will win 7 Constituencies at the General Election. We should each of us ask what little bit extra can we do to make that difference.

Less than 70 days left. Keep spreading the word.